Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 10

Oct 28, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Molineux Stadium

Wolves
2 - 2
Newcastle

Lemina (36'), Hee-chan (71')
Ait-Nouri (83')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Wilson (22', 45+4' pen.)
Burn (66'), Lascelles (69'), Trippier (82'), Longstaff (90+6')

Howard Webb: 'VAR made clear error with Newcastle United penalty versus Wolves'

PGMOL chief Howard Webb says that VAR made an error in awarding Newcastle United a penalty against Wolverhampton Wanderers in last month's Premier League fixture.

Nov 14, 20:26

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Bournemouth 1-2 Wolves
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Newcastle 0-1 Dortmund
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 57.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 20.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.42%) and 0-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 2-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Wolverhampton Wanderers	Draw	Newcastle United
20.42% ( 0)	21.72% ( -0.03)	57.85% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 56.61% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.44% (

0.14)

41.55% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.04% (

0.14)

63.96% (

-0.15)

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.91% (

0.08)

34.08% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.23% (

0.09)

70.76% (

-0.1)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.87% (

0.05)

14.12% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.24% (

0.1)

41.75% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Wolverhampton Wanderers 20.42%

Newcastle United 57.85%

Draw 21.71%

Wolverhampton Wanderers	Draw	Newcastle United
2-1 @ 5.46% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.79% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.12% Total : 20.42%	1-1 @ 10.13% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.71%	1-2 @ 9.93% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 9.22% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.48% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.95% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 57.85%