Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Burnley |
46.08% ( -0) | 26.42% ( 0) | 27.5% |
Both teams to score 49.67% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.45% ( -0.01) | 54.54% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.1% ( -0) | 75.89% ( 0) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.37% ( -0) | 23.63% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.28% ( -0) | 57.71% ( 0) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.03% ( -0) | 34.96% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.29% ( -0) | 71.7% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 11.91% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 8.6% 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.07% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 8.68% 1-2 @ 6.58% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.11% Total : 27.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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