Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16

Dec 1, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stade Gabriel Montpied

Clermont
2 - 2
Lens

Magnin (41'), Bayo (65')
Gastien (9'), Ogier (38'), Gastien (62'), Hamel (81'), Gastien (85'), Dossou (86')
Diaby (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gastien (12' og.), Fofana (47')
Danso (15'), Haidara (36'), Clauss (56'), Frankowski (69'), Jean (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Clermont and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

While Lens are far from their best, they meet a Clermont side lacking any confidence and should be able to get over the line. Since the rapid start, the hosts have struggled to adjust to life in the top flight, and we see them being brushed aside by a strong Lens team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Lens had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Clermont	Draw	Lens
40.07%	26.81%	33.12%

Both teams to score 51.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.03%

53.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.58%

75.41%

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.58%

26.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.42%

61.58%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.42%

30.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.19%

66.81%

Score Analysis

Clermont 40.06%

Lens 33.12%

Draw 26.81%

Clermont	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 8.48% 2-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 3.76% 3-0 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.2% Total : 40.06%	1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.08% 2-2 @ 5.02% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.81%	0-1 @ 9.57% 1-2 @ 7.55% 0-2 @ 5.67% 1-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 3.12% Total : 33.12%