Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24

Feb 19, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade du Moustoir

Lorient
3 - 0
Ajaccio

Dieng (6' pen.), Faivre (43'), Ponceau (58')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Youssouf (28'), Vidal (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nantes 1-0 Lorient
Sunday, February 12 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajaccio

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nice 3-0 Ajaccio
Friday, February 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lorient have struggled since losing some key players in the January transfer window, but a home fixture against a struggling Ajaccio is a good opportunity to change their February fortunes. The Bears will have one eye on a crucial clash with Troyes next weekend, with a trip to Lorient a challenging fixture which we believe they will return to Ajaccio with nothing from. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Ajaccio
38.43% ( 0.04)	28.32% ( -0.02)	33.25% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 46.62% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.4% (

0.04)

59.6% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.07% (

0.03)

79.93% (

-0.03)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.96% (

0.05)

30.04% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.83% (

0.06)

66.17% (

-0.06)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.64%

33.36% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.01% (

-0)

69.99% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Lorient 38.42%

Ajaccio 33.25%

Draw 28.31%

Lorient	Draw	Ajaccio
1-0 @ 12.05% 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 38.42%	1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.31%	0-1 @ 11% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.25%