Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23

Feb 6, 2022 at 12pm UK

Stade du Moustoir

Lorient
2 - 0
Lens

Soumano (43'), Kone (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Wooh (45+1'), Haidara (79'), Frankowski (87')
Cahuzac (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

These teams may be separated by 16 points in the standings at the moment, but Lorient have shown tremendous effort in recent games and might be due for a break in this encounter. Les Merlus have beaten Lens in five of their previous six home fixtures, failing to concede to them in each of those victories, and this group have fared well against teams in the top half of the table, defeating Monaco, Lille and Nice. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Lens
30.59%	27.86%	41.56%

Both teams to score 47.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.45%

58.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.88%

79.12%

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.28%

34.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.55%

71.45%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.25%

27.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.67%

63.33%

Score Analysis

Lorient 30.58%

Lens 41.55%

Draw 27.85%

Lorient	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 10.19% 2-1 @ 6.91% 2-0 @ 5.39% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.19% Total : 30.58%	1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.64% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.85%	0-1 @ 12.35% 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-2 @ 7.92% 1-3 @ 3.58% 0-3 @ 3.38% 2-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 1.15% 0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.83% Total : 41.55%