Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20

Jan 9, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
0 - 2
Strasbourg

Salif Mbengue (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ajorque (50'), Aholou (90+1')
Lienard (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Metz will still be able to put out something of a familiar-looking side despite their plethora of absent players, but any hopes of them clambering their way to safety are slim to none here. Strasbourg are not without their own concerns and have not had it all their own way on the road this term, but Stephan's crop should expose the hosts' defensive frailties with a resounding win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.

Result
Metz	Draw	Strasbourg
31.32%	26.62%	42.07%

Both teams to score 51.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.34%

53.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.85%

75.15%

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.35%

31.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.95%

68.06%

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.78%

25.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.04%

59.96%

Score Analysis

Metz 31.32%

Strasbourg 42.06%

Draw 26.61%

Metz	Draw	Strasbourg
1-0 @ 9.18% 2-1 @ 7.28% 2-0 @ 5.28% 3-1 @ 2.79% 3-0 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.92% Other @ 2.84% Total : 31.32%	1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 7.98% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.61%	0-1 @ 10.99% 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-2 @ 7.57% 1-3 @ 4% 0-3 @ 3.48% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.43% Total : 42.06%