Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25

Feb 26, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade Auguste Delaune

Reims
3 - 0
Toulouse

Ito (4'), Munetsi (7'), Abdelhamid (68')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Reims and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reims

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nice 0-0 Reims
Saturday, February 18 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 2-3 Marseille
Sunday, February 19 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

With Folarin Balogun in such red-hot form, Reims will feel confident going into any game at the moment. The 21-year-old striker may well be the difference between two evenly-matched teams, so we are backing the hosts to gain revenge for their cup exit earlier this month. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.

Result
Reims	Draw	Toulouse
45.85% ( -0.67)	24.03% ( 0.16)	30.11% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 59.04% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.93% (

-0.48)

43.07% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.53% (

-0.48)

65.47% (

0.48)

Reims Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.03% (

-0.47)

18.97% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.49% (

-0.78)

50.5% (

0.78)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.87% (

0.09)

27.13% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.47% (

0.12)

62.52% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Reims 45.85%

Toulouse 30.11%

Draw 24.03%

Reims	Draw	Toulouse
2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.31% Total : 45.85%	1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.03%	1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 30.11%