Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29

Apr 1, 2023 at 8pm UK

Route de Lorient

Rennes
0 - 1
Lens

Doue (27'), Bourigeaud (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Openda (31')
Danso (45+1'), Thomasson (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 0-2 Rennes
Sunday, March 19 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lens 3-0 Angers
Saturday, March 18 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

With both sides challenging for European football, we expect Rennes and Lens to play out a tight draw at Roazhon Park, where the hosts have lost just three of their 14 league matches this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lens in this match.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Lens
29.31% ( 0.16)	25.21% ( 0.09)	45.48% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 54.58% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.3% (

-0.29)

48.7% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.19% (

-0.26)

70.81% (

0.26)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.46% (

-0.03)

30.53% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.24% (

-0.04)

66.76% (

0.04)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.58% (

-0.23)

21.42% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.57% (

-0.36)

54.43% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Rennes 29.31%

Lens 45.48%

Draw 25.2%

Rennes	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 29.31%	1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.2%	0-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 45.48%