Caen

3 - 0

Valenciennes

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 13.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.34%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.