MLS Playoffs | First Round

Oct 15, 2022 at 5pm UK

Red Bull Arena

NY Red Bulls
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Morgan (48')
Amaya (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Acosta (74' pen.), Vazquez (86')
Miazga (28'), Hagglund (45'), Santos (90+9'), Gaddis (90+13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, October 9 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 2-5 Cincinnati
Sunday, October 9 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: New York Red Bulls 1-3 FC Cincinnati

New York have been much better on the road than at home this year, and while experience favours the home side, we expect their top-notch backline will have a hard time dealing with Cincy's dynamic duo, who are in fine form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 58.12%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	FC Cincinnati
58.12% ( -0.01)	22.02%	19.86% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 54.65% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.29% (

0.01)

43.7% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.9% (

0.01)

66.09% (

-0.01)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.25% (

-0)

14.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.02% (

-0)

42.98% (

-0)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.11% (

0.01)

35.89% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.34% (

0.02)

72.66% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 58.12%

FC Cincinnati 19.86%

Draw 22.02%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	FC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.7% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.34% 3-0 @ 6.19% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.03% 4-0 @ 2.96% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.75% Total : 58.12%	1-1 @ 10.38% 0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.02%	0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.32% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 19.86%