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[monks data]
Millwall logo
Championship | Gameweek 12
Nov 21, 2020 at 3pm UK
The Den
Cardiff City logo

Millwall
1 - 1
Cardiff

Smith (35')
Woods (72'), Williams (88'), Dadi Bodvarsson (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moore (80')

Preview: Millwall vs. Cardiff City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Millwall and Cardiff City will be looking to get back to winning ways in the Championship this weekend when they face off at The Den.

The visitors have won just one of their last six matches and are down in 15th, four points adrift of a Millwall side without a victory in three.


Match preview

Cardiff City manager Neil Harris pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Cardiff have spent the past fortnight stewing on their Severnside derby defeat to Bristol City, a result that heaped a little more pressure on boss Neil Harris.

Bluebirds chiefs have made clear that the aim this season is promotion, but Harris's side have made a poor start to the campaign and are in major need of a morale-boosting result.

City have lost two of their last three games, having also gone down 3-2 to Queens Park Rangers, which is as many defeats as they suffered in their previous 11.

Only three sides in the division have won fewer games than Cardiff, meanwhile, with the Welsh side only one point closer to the playoff zone than they are the bottom three.

Harris will have plenty of fond memories from his time at The Den, but Gary Rowett is now the man in charge of Millwall and he will be pleased with his side's points return.

However, the Lions' momentum came to a halt before the international break as they followed up a 3-0 home loss to Huddersfield Town with back-to-back goalless away draws.

Millwall manager Gary Rowett pictured in September 2020© Reuters

Only twice in their Football League history have they drawn three successive games by the same 0-0 scoreline - in April 1936 and September 1993.

A draw this weekend should not be ruled out, meanwhile, as each of the last five league meetings between Millwall and Cardiff have ended level.

The last Football League fixture to see more consecutive draws was Gillingham vs. Walsall (six between August 2009 - February 2015).

Cardiff's defeat to QPR was their first away from home in the Championship in seven outings, with no side picking up more points on their travels in the division this year.

With Millwall picking up only one win in five at The Den, this may well be the perfect chance for Harris to revive his side's playoff aspirations at a ground he knows very well.

Millwall Championship form: WDWLDD

Cardiff City Championship form: DDDLWL


Team News

Lee Tomlin celebrates scoring for Cardiff on February 8, 2020© Reuters

Cardiff have been dealt a major blow as playmaker Lee Tomlin has been ruled out for at least two months after undergoing surgery.

Greg Cunningham is back training again after a month on the sidelines, but fellow full-back Jordi Osei-Tutu is facing four weeks out.

Striker Kieffer Moore featured three times for Wales over the international break but should still start this game, with compatriot Harry Wilson playing just off him.

As for Millwall, Troy Parrott is set to return to the squad after getting 45 minutes under his belt for Republic of Ireland Under-21s and then a few minutes for the seniors.

Shane Ferguson is doubtful, though, after being taken off early in Northern Ireland's defeat to Austria with a back injury.

Kenneth Zohore will play no part against his former side as he is out for an extended period with an ankle injury.

Millwall possible starting lineup:
Bialkowski; Hutchinson, Wallace, Cooper; Romeo, Woods, Leonard, Malone; Wallace, Smith, Bennett

Cardiff City possible starting lineup:
Smithies; Bacuna, Morrison, Nelson, Bennett; Ralls, Vaulks; Ojo, Wilson, Murphy; Moore


SM words green background

We say: Millwall 1-1 Cardiff City

Millwall and Cardiff could do with a victory on Saturday in what should be a tight contest. Both sides have drawn nine games between them this term and, given the outcome of their last five meetings, we can see the points being shared this weekend.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 35.97%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.


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Game History

Who will win Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Cardiff City?

Millwall
48.4%
Draw
32.8%
Cardiff City
18.8%
64
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Cardiff manager Neil Harris pictured in July 2020
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