Major League Soccer
Jul 9, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Bank of America Stadium
We said: Charlotte FC 1-3 FC Cincinnati
Despite a recent wobble in form, Cincinnati will be regarded as favourites to come out on top against a struggling Charlotte outfit this weekend.
The visitors have had few problems finding the net so far this season, scoring in all but one of their 20 MLS matches, and we can see them having more joy in front of goal in North Carolina.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 43.63% . A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.41%) . The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (8.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%) . The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood .
Result Charlotte FC Draw FC Cincinnati 43.63% ( 0.48) 25.45% ( 0.17) 30.91% ( -0.65)
Both teams to score 54.65% ( -0.87)
50.99% ( -1.01) 49.01% ( 1.01)
28.91% ( -0.92) 71.09% ( 0.92)
77.6% ( -0.2) 22.4% ( 0.21)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 44.08% ( -0.31) 55.92% ( 0.32)
70.43% ( -0.93) 29.57% ( 0.94)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.4% ( -1.16) 65.6% ( 1.16)
Charlotte FC 43.63%
FC Cincinnati 30.91%
Draw 25.45%
Charlotte FC Draw FC Cincinnati 1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.24% Total : 43.63% 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.45% 0-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.91%
How you voted: Charlotte FC vs Cincinnati
Charlotte FC
Draw
FC Cincinnati
21
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-12 23:01:50
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