Major League Soccer
Oct 22, 2023 at 2am UK
Dignity Health Sports Park
We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 Dallas
While LA Galaxy will be glad to see the back of a dreadful league season, they will want to have one last say in the final standings and will throw everything they have into this one to give their home fans something to cheer about on the final day. Dallas cannot afford to lose here, but we feel they will have to settle for a point in this one and hope for the best in the other matches elsewhere.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 53.33% . A win for Dallas had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.1% .
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.67%) . The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (6.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%) . The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood .
Result Los Angeles Galaxy Draw Dallas 53.33% ( 0.19) 23.05% ( 0.19) 23.62% ( -0.38)
Both teams to score 56.59% ( -1.11)
56.3% ( -1.26) 43.69% ( 1.27)
33.92% ( -1.24) 66.08% ( 1.25)
83.64% ( -0.38) 16.36% ( 0.39)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 54.03% ( -0.7) 45.97% ( 0.71)
67.66% ( -1) 32.34% ( 1.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 31.15% ( -1.15) 68.85% ( 1.16)
Los Angeles Galaxy 53.33%
Dallas 23.62%
Draw 23.05%
Los Angeles Galaxy Draw Dallas 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.3% Total : 53.33% 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.05% 1-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 3.37% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.53% Total : 23.62%
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-12 23:01:50
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