Major League Soccer

Oct 29, 2023 at 1am UK

Banc of California Stadium

Los Angeles
5 - 2
Vancouver

Hollingshead (18', 52'), Bouanga (29', 64'), Murillo (80')
Vela (22')

FT(HT: 2-2)

White (27'), Adekugbe (40')
Brown (41'), Blackmon (55'), Vite (63'), Johnson (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, October 22 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, October 22 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Los Angeles FC 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps (Vancouver win on penalties)

From the outset of the 2023 MLS campaign, LAFC have had a target on their back, and although they finished the season strong, they have played a lot more games than most MLS sides this year, making the CONCACAF Champions League final, the Leagues Cup quarter-finals and also competing in the Campeones Cup, all of that to say they may be a little fatigued. The Whitecaps are not the same team that the LA saw at the CONCACAF Champions League this year, and their quick ball movements and pace could be difficult for the home side to handle, while the pressure on them will not be nearly as heavy as what the expectations are for Los Angeles.

How to watch

You can watch Los Angeles FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 18.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 1-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FC	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
60.94% ( 1.5)	20.27% ( -0.3)	18.79% ( -1.2)

Both teams to score 58.9% (

-1.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.78% (

-0.49)

37.22% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.57% (

-0.53)

59.42% (

0.53)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.16% (

0.26)

11.83% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.91% (

0.56)

37.09% (

-0.56)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.81% (

-1.49)

33.19% (

1.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.21% (

-1.68)

69.79% (

1.68)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles FC 60.94%

Vancouver Whitecaps 18.79%

Draw 20.27%

Los Angeles FC	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.39) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.34) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.11) Other @ 4.24% Total : 60.94%	1-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.27%	1-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.1% Total : 18.79%