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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Sep 14, 2022 at 11.55pm UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
Atlanta United

Orlando City
0 - 1
Atlanta


Cartagena (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Almada (72')
Dwyer (50'), Araujo (78'), Mosquera (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 5-1 Orlando City
Sunday, September 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 4-2 Toronto
Sunday, September 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 2-0 Atlanta United

Losing in the manner Orlando did last weekend might be demoralising if it were anyone besides Philly, who have made it a routine of trouncing their opponents this season. Atlanta are a different team away from home as they struggle to create much, while the Lions have managed to find various ways to win matches in 2022, and we believe Pareja will be able to put together an intelligent game plan to help his side earn another three points at home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Orlando CityDrawAtlanta United
49.78% (0.102 0.1) 23.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 26.91% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Both teams to score 59.2% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.19% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)41.81% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.79% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)64.21% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.05% (0.021000000000001 0.02)16.94% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.97% (0.038000000000004 0.04)47.02% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.28% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)28.72% (0.093999999999998 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.45% (-0.116 -0.12)64.55% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 49.78%
    Atlanta United 26.91%
    Draw 23.3%
Orlando CityDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.64% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.67% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.66% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.54% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 49.78%
1-1 @ 10.77%
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.3%
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.07% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 26.91%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Atlanta

Orlando City
73.9%
Draw
15.2%
Atlanta United
10.9%
46
Head to Head
Jul 17, 2022 8pm
Atlanta
1-1
Orlando City
Sanchez (71')
Sejdic (45+1'), McFadden (59'), Araujo (90')
Pereyra (10')
Urso (36'), Pereyra (69'), Michel (73'), Ruan (90+1')
Sep 11, 2021 12am
Atlanta
3-0
Orlando City
Campbell (25'), Dike (38' og.), Barco (72')
Franco (34'), Campbell (45+1'), Sosa (81')

Carlos (37')
Jul 31, 2021 1am
Orlando City
3-2
Atlanta
Smith (43'), Van der Water (79'), Nani (87')
Perea (64')
Martinez (1'), Moreno (66')
Franco (86')
Oct 28, 2020 11.30pm
Orlando City
4-1
Atlanta
Dike (29'), Mueller (45+2'), Akindele (60'), Mendez (90+2')
Michel (88')
Torres (87')
Meza (45+1'), Remedi (81'), Mo (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls178542923629
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1541101227-1513

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd168532821729
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland185673232021
10Seattle SoundersSeattle174672021-118
11St Louis City163942325-218
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas173592632-614
13Dallas163581825-714
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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