Major League Soccer

May 30, 2024 at 3.30am UK

CenturyLink Field

Seattle
1 - 1
Salt Lake

Rusnak (68')
Vargas (87'), Baker-Whiting (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gomez (90+10')
Oviedo (67'), Crooks (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Seattle Sounders and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Seattle Sounders

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 1-2 Seattle
Sunday, May 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Last Game: Dallas 3-3 Salt Lake
Sunday, May 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Seattle Sounders 1-1 Real Salt Lake

Seattle have drawn four times in the league when playing at home this season, the second most of any team in the MLS, and with Salt Lake drawing four times on the road this year, we expect this one to end all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Seattle Sounders	Draw	Real Salt Lake
50.96% ( -0.03)	23.03% ( 0.02)	26.01% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 59.31% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.71% (

-0.11)

41.29% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.31% (

-0.11)

63.69% (

0.11)

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.67% (

-0.05)

16.33% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.08% (

-0.1)

45.91% (

0.09)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.88% (

-0.06)

29.12% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.95% (

-0.07)

65.04% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Seattle Sounders 50.96%

Real Salt Lake 26.01%

Draw 23.03%

Seattle Sounders	Draw	Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.63% 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.72% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.42% Total : 50.96%	1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.03%	1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 3.34% Total : 26.01%