National League North | Gameweek 4

Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK

Lincoln Road

Peterborough Sports
3 - 2
Chester

Nicholson (8', 62'), Gash (29')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Thomas (45'), Weeks (55')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Peterborough Sports and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough Sports win with a probability of 52.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Chester FC had a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Chester FC win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough Sports would win this match.

Result
Peterborough Sports	Draw	Chester FC
52.56% ( 0.04)	24.27% ( -0.03)	23.17% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 52.12% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.64% (

0.09)

49.36% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.59% (

0.09)

71.41% (

-0.09)

Peterborough Sports Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.26% (

0.05)

18.74% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.88% (

0.09)

50.12% (

-0.09)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.14% (

0.04)

35.86% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.36% (

0.04)

72.63% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Peterborough Sports 52.55%

Chester FC 23.17%

Draw 24.27%

Peterborough Sports	Draw	Chester FC
1-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 52.55%	1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.27%	0-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.92% 0-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 23.17%