National League | Gameweek 43

Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

Crown Oil Arena

Rochdale
1 - 1
Hartlepool

Rodney (90+6')
Gordon (89')
Mitchell (39')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Grey (65')
Grey (66'), Crawford (78'), Parkes (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the National League clash between Rochdale and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions

Last Game: Gateshead 1-0 Rochdale
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: Hartlepool 1-0 Halifax
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Hartlepool United
51.67% ( -0.41)	22.93% ( 0.16)	25.41% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 59.06% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.66% (

-0.52)

41.35% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.26% (

-0.53)

63.74% (

0.53)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.91% (

-0.33)

16.1% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.51% (

-0.61)

45.5% (

0.61)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.39% (

-0.08)

29.61% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.36% (

-0.1)

65.65% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Rochdale 51.67%

Hartlepool United 25.41%

Draw 22.92%

Rochdale	Draw	Hartlepool United
2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.49% Total : 51.67%	1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.92%	1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.2% Total : 25.41%