National League | Gameweek 40

Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

Plainmoor Ground

Torquay Utd
1 - 2
Dag & Red

Jarvis (45+1')
Dawson (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Effiong (78' pen., 90+5')
Onariase (35'), Hare (56'), Sagaf (80')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Torquay United and Dagenham & Redbridge, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torquay United

All competitions

Last Game: Gateshead 1-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dagenham & Redbridge

All competitions

Last Game: Dag & Red 1-1 Oldham
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Torquay United 1-1 Dagenham & Redbridge

Despite Dag & Red realistically having little to play for between now and the end of the season, their players will be determined to impress their new manager, which should ensure that they remain professional and motivated until the off-season begins. However, Torquay are scrapping for every point that they can possibly collect as they attempt to avoid dropping into the sixth tier once again, but they may have to settle for a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Dagenham & Redbridge in this match.

Result
Torquay United	Draw	Dagenham & Redbridge
35.79% ( -0.06)	24.36% ( -0.02)	39.85% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 59.98% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.26% (

0.08)

42.74% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.86% (

0.08)

65.15% (

-0.08)

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.41% (

23.59% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.34% (

57.66% (

-0)

Dagenham & Redbridge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.49% (

0.08)

21.51% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.44% (

0.12)

54.56% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Torquay United 35.79%

Dagenham & Redbridge 39.85%

Draw 24.36%

Torquay United	Draw	Dagenham & Redbridge
2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 35.79%	1-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.36%	1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 39.85%