National League | Gameweek 38

Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Bootham Crescent

York City
0 - 0
Scunthorpe

Fallowfield (23'), Ellis (58')

Rance (7'), Thompson (26'), Richards-Everton (70')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between York City and Scunthorpe United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions

Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 York City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Scunthorpe United

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 4-0 Scunthorpe
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: York City 1-0 Scunthorpe United

Scunthorpe will be reeling after their thumping by Notts County on Saturday and home advantage combined with the goalscoring prowess of John-Lewis and Forde may just give York the edge in this basement battle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
York City	Draw	Scunthorpe United
46.86% ( 2.48)	24.86% ( -0.15)	28.28% ( -2.33)

Both teams to score 55.04% (

-0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.21% (

-0.59)

47.79% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.02% (

-0.55)

69.97% (

0.54)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.55% (

0.85)

20.44% (

-0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.1% (

1.33)

52.89% (

-1.33)

Scunthorpe United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.19% (

-1.94)

30.81% (

1.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.91% (

-2.35)

67.08% (

2.35)

Score Analysis

York City 46.86%

Scunthorpe United 28.28%

Draw 24.86%

York City	Draw	Scunthorpe United
1-0 @ 10% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.58) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.41) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.74% Total : 46.86%	1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.86%	0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.25) Other @ 2.98% Total : 28.28%