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[monks data]
Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 13, 2021 at 3pm UK
Crown Ground
Plymouth Argyle

Accrington
1 - 4
Plymouth

Leigh (50')
Leigh (54'), Conneely (72')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hamilton (23' og.), Houghton (44'), Broom (63'), Hardie (76')
Garrick (79'), Grant (84')

Preview: Accrington Stanley vs. Plymouth Argyle - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

In-form Plymouth Argyle make the long trip to Accrington Stanley knowing that a victory on Saturday afternoon will see them regain top spot in the League One standings.

Meanwhile, Accrington, on a three-match unbeaten run of their own in the league, head into this fixture sitting in 12th position.


Match preview

Bury manager Ryan Lowe pictured in December 2018© Reuters

Such has been Plymouth's form this season that there was disappointment when they only claimed a goalless draw at Sheffield Wednesday in the FA Cup last weekend.

Nevertheless, it was a result which extended their recent run to just one defeat in 14 matches, that solitary setback coming in the EFL Trophy.

Ryan Lowe will continue to demand more from a team which he will feel has drawn too many games this season, but sitting in second spot with 33 points from 16 matches is promotion-winning form.

The Argyle boss will want to continue looking short term, one of those targets being improving on a streak which has seen just one clean sheet kept in nine league outings.

On the flip side, Plymouth have scored during every game of their 15-match undefeated league run, despite leading marksman Ryan Hardie failing to score in five successive outings.

Accrington head into this fixture having started to get their campaign back on track, at least in the third tier where they have five points from three games.

The 5-1 defeat at Port Vale, a team in a lower division, came as a huge blow to Stanley last weekend, and it represented the second time that so many goals had been conceded away from home since the end of September.

However, John Coleman will prefer to focus on the positives from the previous matches, while it should not go unnoticed that his side beat Fleetwood Town by a 4-1 scoreline in the EFL Trophy earlier this week.

Something else which should also be taken into account is Accrington playing three fewer home games so far this season, their current return standing at 13 points from six matches.

Accrington Stanley League One form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D

Accrington Stanley form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W

Plymouth Argyle League One form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W

Plymouth Argyle form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D



Team News

Accrington Stanley manager John Coleman pictured in May 2021© Reuters

Colby Bishop is able to feature for Accrington, the forward's red card against Port Vale only counting for the FA Cup.

However, Coleman will consider making changes to his team, Joel Mumbongo a potential introduction in attack and Harvey Rodgers on the right flank.

Lowe is unlikely to take any risks on Plymouth trio James Bolton, George Cooper and Niall Ennis, who have spent time on the sidelines.

Hardie will hope for another chance in attack ahead of Jordan Garrick, while Ryan Broom will hope to feature in midfield.

Danny Mayor will likely drop back down to the substitutes' bench.

Accrington Stanley possible starting lineup:
Savin; Nottingham, Amankwah, Sykes; Rodgers, Hamilton, Morgan, Conneely, McConville; Pell; Mumbongo

Plymouth Argyle possible starting lineup:
Cooper; Galloway, Scarr, Wilson; Edwards, Camara, Broom, Houghton, Grant; Garrick, Jephcott


SM words green background

We say: Accrington Stanley 1-3 Plymouth Argyle

Sitting safety in mid-table, Accrington can attack this game without any real pressure on their shoulders. However, we cannot ignore the form of Plymouth, leading us to back a relatively comfortable win for the visitors.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Accrington vs Plymouth

Accrington Stanley
29.9%
Draw
13.4%
Plymouth Argyle
56.7%
67
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