Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Warta Poznan win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Legia Warsaw in this match.

Result
Warta Poznan	Draw	Legia Warsaw
27.42% ( 0.16)	26.43% ( 0.06)	46.16% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 49.57% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.35% (

-0.14)

54.65% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.02% (

-0.12)

75.98% (

0.12)

Warta Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.91% (

0.05)

35.09% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.16% (

0.05)

71.84% (

-0.05)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.36% (

-0.16)

23.64% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.27% (

-0.24)

57.73% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Warta Poznan 27.42%

Legia Warsaw 46.15%

Draw 26.42%

Warta Poznan	Draw	Legia Warsaw
1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.65% 3-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.09% Total : 27.42%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.42%	0-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.7% Total : 46.15%