Arsenal

4 - 1

Crystal Palace

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 77.6%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 7.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.78%) and 1-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.88%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.