Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 4

Aug 27, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
2 - 1
Fulham

Odegaard (64'), Magalhaes (85')
White (36'), Jesus (44')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mitrovic (56')
Palhinha (44'), Robinson (51'), Reid (70')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

Last Six:

Last Game: Bournemouth 0-3 Arsenal
Saturday, August 20 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Arsenal	3	7	9
2	Manchester City	3	6	7
3	Leeds United	3	4	7

Fulham

Last Six:

Last Game: Crawley 2-0 Fulham
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Newcastle United	3	2	5
7	Fulham	3	1	5
8	Brentford	3	3	4

This could be a very tricky match for Arsenal, as Fulham have shown a lot of positive signs in the early stages of the new Premier League season. The Gunners have been excellent thus far, though, and we are expecting Arteta's side to put a fourth straight victory on the board. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 63.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 15.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Fulham win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Fulham
63.63% ( 0.01)	20.67% ( -0.01)	15.7% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.92% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.41% (

0.02)

44.59% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.04% (

0.02)

66.96% (

-0.02)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.66% (

0.01)

13.34% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.79% (

0.02)

40.21% (

-0.02)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.76% (

0.01)

41.24% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.23% (

0.01)

77.77% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Arsenal 63.63%

Fulham 15.7%

Draw 20.67%

Arsenal	Draw	Fulham
2-0 @ 11.16% 1-0 @ 11.08% 2-1 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 7.5% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.64% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.78% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 63.63%	1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.67%	0-1 @ 4.87% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.35% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.75% Total : 15.7%