Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 20

Feb 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
2 - 1
Wolves

Pepe (82'), Lacazette (90+5')
Saka (38')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hee-chan (10')
Jimenez (89')

Mikel Arteta: 'Alexandre Lacazette playing like someone who wants to stay'

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta hints at a possible new contract for Alexandre Lacazette after his heroics against Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Feb 25, 12:58

Arsenal's Alexandre Lacazette aims dig at Ruben Neves after Wolves win

Arsenal's Alexandre Lacazette takes aim at Ruben Neves's "celebration" dig after the Gunners beat Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-1 in Thursday's Premier League contest.

Feb 25, 08:07

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta pictured on February 24, 2022

Mikel Arteta lauds "phenomenal" Arsenal in Wolverhampton Wanderers win

Mikel Arteta describes Arsenal's performance against Wolverhampton Wanderers as "phenomenal" after the Gunners claim a late 2-1 win at the Emirates.

Feb 24, 22:55

The Match

We said: Arsenal 2-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers

Arteta has developed Arsenal into experts at keeping things watertight at the back, and they would do well to rely on their recent experience of keeping fellow defensive masters Wolves out with 10 men. Lage's side must still be wondering how they failed to take something from their meeting with the Gunners at Molineux, and a close encounter is in store between these two full-strength sides, but Arsenal have been a different beast at the Emirates this term and should finally claim a home win versus Wolves to close the gap on Man United. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 15.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers
61.14%	23.31%	15.55%

Both teams to score 42.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.62%

55.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.41%

76.59%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.21%

17.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.49%

48.51%

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.03%

47.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.79%

83.21%

Score Analysis

Arsenal 61.13%

Wolverhampton Wanderers 15.55%

Draw 23.31%

Arsenal	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers
1-0 @ 14.73% 2-0 @ 12.71% 2-1 @ 9.34% 3-0 @ 7.32% 3-1 @ 5.38% 4-0 @ 3.16% 4-1 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 1.98% 5-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.1% Total : 61.13%	1-1 @ 10.82% 0-0 @ 8.53% 2-2 @ 3.43% Other @ 0.52% Total : 23.31%	0-1 @ 6.27% 1-2 @ 3.98% 0-2 @ 2.3% 1-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.02% Total : 15.55%