Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 22

Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Falmer Stadium

Brighton
1 - 0
Bournemouth

Mitoma (87')
Veltman (9'), Dunk (69'), Caicedo (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Smith (84')

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion move back up to sixth in the Premier League after beating Bournemouth 1-0.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brighton 2-1 Liverpool
Sunday, January 29 at 1.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bournemouth

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Bournemouth 1-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 70.16%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 11.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Bournemouth
70.16% ( 0.01)	18.33% ( -0)	11.5% ( -0)

Both teams to score 46.98% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.29% (

0.01)

43.71% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.9% (

0.02)

66.1% (

-0.01)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.75% (

0.01)

11.25% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.17% (

0.01)

35.83% (

-0.01)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.93% (

0.01)

47.07% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.46% (

82.54% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 70.15%

Bournemouth 11.5%

Draw 18.33%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Bournemouth
2-0 @ 12.63% 1-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 9.2% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.94% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.03% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.79% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.61% 5-0 @ 2.2% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.59% Total : 70.15%	1-1 @ 8.72% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.59% ( 0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 18.33%	0-1 @ 3.99% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.29% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.5% 2-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.82% Total : 11.5%