Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 1

Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
2 - 1
Wolves

Rodrigo (24'), Ait-Nouri (74' og.)
Harrison (20'), Adams (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Podence (6')

Leeds United boss Jesse Marsch: "I sent an email to Bruno Lage to clear the air"

Leeds United's Jesse Marsch reveals he has "sent an email" to Wolves boss Bruno Lage "to clear the air" following their altercation on the touchline on the opening weekend of the new season.

Aug 19, 16:30

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

Last Six:

Last Game: Leeds 6-2 Cagliari
Sunday, July 31 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Fulham	0	0	0
9	Leeds United	0	0	0
10	Leicester City	0	0	0

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Last Six:

Last Game: Farense 1-1 Wolves
Sunday, July 31 at 6.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	West Ham United	0	0	0
19	Wolverhampton Wanderers	0	0	0
20	Crystal Palace	1	-2	0

We said: Leeds United 2-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers

While both managers will be satisfied with how their respective pre-seasons played out, we can see only one winner at the weekend. Without a recognised centre-forward in their squad, Wolves would take a draw if it was handed to them right now, but Leeds should have enough quality and enthusiasm to run out comfortable victors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 47.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers
47.25% ( 0.22)	27.65% ( 0.33)	25.1% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 44.45% (

-1.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.65% (

-1.46)

60.35% (

1.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.5% (

-1.12)

80.5% (

1.12)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.36% (

-0.55)

25.64% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.47% (

-0.76)

60.53% (

0.76)

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.78% (

-1.32)

40.22% (

1.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.15% (

-1.22)

76.85% (

1.22)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 47.25%

Wolverhampton Wanderers 25.1%

Draw 27.64%

Leeds United	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers
1-0 @ 14.03% ( 0.54) 2-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.07% Total : 47.25%	1-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.55) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.64%	0-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.34% Total : 25.1%