Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 14

Oct 29, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
0 - 1
Man City

FT(HT: 0-0)

De Bruyne (49')

Man City's Pep Guardiola confirms Erling Braut Haaland will miss Sevilla clash with "ligament damage"

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola confirms that Erling Braut Haaland will miss next Wednesday's Champions League fixture against Sevilla due to a ligament injury.

Oct 29, 16:10

Manchester City's Kevin De Bruyne celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on October 29, 2022

Kevin De Bruyne stunner sends Manchester City top of Premier League

Manchester City climb to the top of the Premier League after securing a 1-0 victory against Leicester City at the King Power Stadium this afternoon.

Oct 29, 14:25

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions

Last Game: Wolves 0-4 Leicester
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Manchester City

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Dortmund 0-0 Man City
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Leicester City 1-2 Manchester City

Leicester's upturn in form, Man City's spate of goalless games away from home and concerns over Haaland's fitness makes this a far trickier game for the champions than some may have anticipated, especially with a rejuvenated Vardy seeking to continue his prolific streak against the big boys. The Foxes' resilient defensive streak is unlikely to count for much either way, and while we have faith in Guardiola's side to get the job done, it would not be surprising to see just the one-goal margin separate the teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 17.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-0 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Manchester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Manchester City
17.19% ( 0.01)	21.43% ( 0.01)	61.38% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 51.67% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.76% (

-0.02)

45.24% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.42% (

-0.02)

67.58% (

0.02)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.24% (

39.76% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.57% (

76.43% (

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.77% (

-0.01)

14.23% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.03% (

-0.02)

41.97% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Leicester City 17.19%

Manchester City 61.38%

Draw 21.43%

Leicester City	Draw	Manchester City
1-0 @ 5.22% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.69% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.41% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.44% 3-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.03% Total : 17.19%	1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.58% 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.43%	0-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.75% 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-3 @ 6.99% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.45% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.41% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.33% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 61.38%