Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 30

Apr 20, 2022 at 8pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
3 - 0
Brighton

Mahrez (53'), Foden (65'), Silva (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mac Allister (79'), Webster (81'), Dunk (89')

Pep Guardiola provides John Stones, Nathan Ake injury update after Brighton win

Manchester City boss Pep Guardiola reveals that John Stones and Nathan Ake picked up respective hamstring and ankle injuries in the 3-0 win over Brighton on Wednesday.

Apr 21, 01:12

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola celebrates on November 24, 2021

Pep Guardiola breaks Jose Mourinho English top-flight record after Brighton win

Pep Guardiola breaks an English top-flight record, previously set by Jose Mourinho, following Manchester City's 3-0 Premier League win over Brighton on Wednesday night.

Apr 21, 00:58

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

Last Six:

Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Next Game: Liverpool vs. Man City
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Manchester City	38	73	93
2	Liverpool	38	68	92
3	Chelsea	38	43	74

Brighton & Hove Albion

Last Six:

Last Game: Brighton 3-1 West Ham
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Leicester City	38	3	52
9	Brighton & Hove Albion	38	-2	51
10	Wolverhampton Wanderers	38	-5	51

We said: Manchester City 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton command plenty of respect after consecutive wins against Arsenal and Tottenham, but attempting to get one over a Man City side desperate to respond to their FA Cup exit is surely a bridge too far for the Seagulls. City will have all the motivation they need to return to winning ways should Liverpool go top on Tuesday night, and the fresh legs at Guardiola's disposal makes it difficult to look past a convincing win for the reigning champions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 67.79%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 13.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-2 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
67.79%	18.45%	13.75%

Both teams to score 53.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.4%

38.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.09%

60.9%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.55%

10.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.96%

34.03%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.81%

40.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.18%

76.82%

Score Analysis

Manchester City 67.79%

Brighton & Hove Albion 13.75%

Draw 18.45%

Manchester City	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
2-0 @ 10.71% 2-1 @ 9.77% 1-0 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 8.07% 3-1 @ 7.36% 4-0 @ 4.56% 4-1 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 3.35% 5-0 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.89% 5-1 @ 1.88% Other @ 4.52% Total : 67.79%	1-1 @ 8.64% 2-2 @ 4.45% 0-0 @ 4.2% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.45%	1-2 @ 3.94% 0-1 @ 3.83% 0-2 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.35% 1-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.69% Total : 13.75%