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Premier League | Gameweek 18
Jan 1, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
City Ground
Chelsea logo

Nott'm Forest
1 - 1
Chelsea

Aurier (63')
Yates (42'), Lodi (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sterling (16')
Azpilicueta (53'), Gallagher (90')

The Match

Match Report

Chelsea lose more ground in the race for the Premier League's top four after a 1-1 draw at Nottingham Forest.

Team News

Denis Zakaria and Christian Pulisic retain their starting spots for Chelsea's Premier League fixture versus Nottingham Forest.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Nottingham Forest.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of the Premier League fixture at Nottingham Forest on New Year's Day.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 2-0 Bournemouth
Tuesday, December 27 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 54.94%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawChelsea
22.1% (1.3 1.3) 22.96% (0.75 0.75) 54.94% (-2.049 -2.05)
Both teams to score 54.96% (-0.599 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.07% (-1.699 -1.7)44.93% (1.7 1.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.72% (-1.655 -1.65)67.29% (1.656 1.66)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.62% (0.28400000000001 0.28)34.38% (-0.282 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.91% (0.3 0.3)71.09% (-0.29899999999999 -0.3)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.76% (-1.28 -1.28)16.24% (1.281 1.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.25% (-2.379 -2.38)45.75% (2.38 2.38)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 22.1%
    Chelsea 54.93%
    Draw 22.95%
Nottingham ForestDrawChelsea
1-0 @ 5.96% (0.468 0.47)
2-1 @ 5.78% (0.256 0.26)
2-0 @ 3.18% (0.272 0.27)
3-1 @ 2.06% (0.106 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.13% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 22.1%
1-1 @ 10.83% (0.4 0.4)
0-0 @ 5.58% (0.398 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.95%
0-1 @ 10.14% (0.289 0.29)
1-2 @ 9.85% (-0.066999999999998 -0.07)
0-2 @ 9.23% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-3 @ 5.97% (-0.312 -0.31)
0-3 @ 5.59% (-0.338 -0.34)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-4 @ 2.71% (-0.271 -0.27)
0-4 @ 2.54% (-0.275 -0.28)
2-4 @ 1.45% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-5 @ 0.99% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-5 @ 0.92% (-0.146 -0.15)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 54.93%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Chelsea

Nottingham Forest
17.2%
Draw
10.9%
Chelsea
71.9%
221
Head to Head
Jan 5, 2020 2.01pm
Jan 5, 2019 3pm
Sep 20, 2017 7.45pm
Third Round
Chelsea
5-1
Nott'm Forest
Kenedy (13'), Batshuayi (18', 53', 84'), Musonda (40')
Darikwa (90')
Hobbs (21')
Feb 20, 1999 3pm
Sep 12, 1998 3pm
Chelsea
2-1
Nott'm Forest
Poyet (35'), Zola (1')
Darcheville (69')
rhs 2.0
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