Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14

Dec 30, 2022 at 5pm UK

Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira

Chaves
0 - 2
Famalicao

Langa (16'), Jo (20'), Guimaraes (39'), Abass (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cadiz (18'), Jaime (53')
Penetra (35'), Sa (44'), Mihaj (45+6'), Pablo (57'), Colombatto (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Chaves 1-2 Mafra
Friday, December 16 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Famalicao

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Famalicao
Thursday, December 15 at 8pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Buoyed by their victory over Estoril Praia, Famalicao will head into the weekend with renewed confidence as they look to steer clear of the relegation zone. However, Chaves have been a tough nut to crack at home in the league, where they are unbeaten in their last five matches. Both sides are evenly-matched on paper and we anticipate that the spoils will be shared in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Chaves win was 1-0 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
Chaves	Draw	Famalicao
32.09% ( 0.45)	28.92% ( 0.14)	38.99% ( -0.59)

Both teams to score 44.69% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.14% (

-0.38)

61.87% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.36% (

-0.28)

81.64% (

0.28)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.61% (

0.13)

35.39% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.85% (

0.13)

72.15% (

-0.13)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.16% (

-0.54)

30.84% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.88% (

-0.64)

67.12% (

0.64)

Score Analysis

Chaves 32.08%

Famalicao 38.98%

Draw 28.91%

Chaves	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 32.08%	1-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.91%	0-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.22% Total : 38.98%