Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12

Dec 1, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira

Chaves
2 - 1
Vizela

Hernandez (30' pen.), Jo (48')
Nogueira (8'), Vitoria (15'), Pedro (37'), Nwakali (45+3'), Victor (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Essende (12')
Nascimento (21'), Ortiz (67'), Samu (87')
Wilson (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Portimonense 2-1 Chaves
Saturday, November 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vizela

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Vizela 2-1 Estrela Amadora
Friday, November 24 at 7.30pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vizela have certainly taken steps in the right direction in recent weeks, particularly in defence, while their hosts failed to build an improved run following their wins before the break. Given Chaves' struggles at the back and lack of confidence on their return to action, we fancy the visitors to leave with all three points on Friday and move further clear of the bottom three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Chaves win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Chaves	Draw	Vizela
28.56% ( 0.06)	24.38% ( 0.02)	47.06% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 56.84% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.48% (

-0.06)

45.52% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.15% (

-0.06)

67.85% (

0.06)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.56% (

0.01)

29.44% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.56% (

0.01)

65.44% (

-0.01)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.55% (

-0.05)

19.45% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.7% (

-0.09)

51.29% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Chaves 28.56%

Vizela 47.06%

Draw 24.38%

Chaves	Draw	Vizela
2-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 28.56%	1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.38%	1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 47.06%