Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1

Aug 13, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Jose Gomes

Estrela Amadora
0 - 1
Guimaraes

Reis (90+4'), Jaba (90+5'), Kikas (90+9')
Lopes (20'), Agostinho de Oliveira Vieira (90+11')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Silva (24')
Carlos (19'), Gaspar (62'), Andre (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Roma 4-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, July 29 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Celje (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, August 3 at 8.15pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

We said: Estrela Amadora 1-2 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Despite the excitement at Estrela's promotion, the new side are expected to suffer a defeat at the hands of Vitoria in the opening gameweek, with the Conquerors picking up their first road victory of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
31.16% ( -0.41)	26.54% ( -0.09)	42.3% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 51.29% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.59% (

0.21)

53.41% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.06% (

0.18)

74.94% (

-0.18)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.37% (

-0.17)

31.63% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.96% (

-0.2)

68.04% (

0.2)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.01% (

0.35)

24.98% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.37% (

0.49)

59.63% (

-0.49)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 31.16%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 42.3%

Draw 26.54%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 31.16%	1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.54%	0-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.48% Total : 42.3%