Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24

Mar 13, 2023 at 8.15pm UK

Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao
1 - 0
Casa Pia

Jaime (36')
Sanca (21'), Penetra (48'), Pablo (85'), Assuncao (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Neto (68'), Cardoso (70'), Soma (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 2-0 Famalicao
Friday, March 3 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Casa Pia 2-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Monday, March 6 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Famalicao 2-1 Casa Pia

Considering Casa Pia's recent struggles away from home, Famalicao are slight favourites on Monday as they have put together a fine run of results at the Estadio Municipal de Famalicao in recent weeks. We predict a cagey affair in this one with the Vila Nova returning to winning ways. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 19.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Casa Pia
56.16% ( 0.48)	24.51% ( -0.17)	19.34% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 46.25% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.51% (

0.26)

54.48% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.15% (

0.22)

75.84% (

-0.21)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.69% (

0.29)

19.31% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.94% (

0.47)

51.06% (

-0.46)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.31% (

-0.19)

42.68% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.98% (

-0.16)

79.02% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Famalicao 56.15%

Casa Pia 19.34%

Draw 24.5%

Famalicao	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 13.55% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 56.15%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.5%	0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 19.34%