Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14

Dec 17, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao
1 - 1
Estoril

Cadiz (14')
Moura (2'), Mihaj (68'), Cadiz (74'), Pablo (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Cassiano (5')
Araujo (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Portimonense 1-1 Famalicao
Saturday, December 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estoril 4-0 Chaves
Sunday, December 10 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Famalicao 2-2 Estoril Praia

With a new manager at the helm, Estoril look like a side transformed and are playing free-flowing, attacking football that their opponents have struggled to contend with. Famalicao, though, are fairly solid defensively and have won the last three at this venue against this opponent. This should be an entertaining watch, but we say these sides will end level at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 50.32%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Estoril Praia
50.32% ( 1.35)	24.68% ( -0.35)	25% ( -1)

Both teams to score 52.82% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.6% (

0.66)

49.4% (

-0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.55% (

0.59)

71.44% (

-0.59)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.36% (

0.82)

19.64% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.39% (

1.32)

51.61% (

-1.32)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.73% (

-0.47)

34.27% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.03% (

-0.52)

70.97% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Famalicao 50.32%

Estoril Praia 25%

Draw 24.68%

Famalicao	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 10.95% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.91% Total : 50.32%	1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.68%	0-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.2% Total : 25%