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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Oct 2, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Casa Pia

Gil Vicente
2 - 0
Casa Pia

Carlos (61'), Depu (78')
Pereira (40'), Dominguez (52'), Tiba (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Larrazabal (13'), Soma (20'), Roberto (52')
Roberto (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 2-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, September 23 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 2-1 Nacional
Thursday, September 28 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Gil Vicente 1-1 Casa Pia

While Gil Vicente endured a turbulent start to the season, they will be backing themselves to extend their dominance over Casa Pia and grab the desired result in front of their home fans. However, the visitors have picked up four wins and one draw in their five away games this season and we see them leaving with something at the Estadio Cidade de Barcelos. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawCasa Pia
37.63% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 25.87% (0.004999999999999 0) 36.5% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.67% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.39% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)49.61% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.37% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)71.63% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.26% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)25.74% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.32% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)60.67% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.62% (0.0049999999999955 0)26.37% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)61.53% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 37.63%
    Casa Pia 36.5%
    Draw 25.86%
Gil VicenteDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.83% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 37.63%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 9.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.03% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.68% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.47%
1-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 36.5%

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia

Gil Vicente
57.7%
Draw
26.9%
Casa Pia
15.4%
26
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 34
Gil Vicente
1-0
Casa Pia
Navarro (63')
Gomes (54')

Kunimoto (84')
Soma (71')
Jan 22, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 17
Casa Pia
1-3
Gil Vicente
Martins (46')
Navarro (50', 62'), Carvalho (54')
rhs 2.0
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Group A

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1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
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Group B

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2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
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Group E

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Group F

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3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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