Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 26, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave
1 - 0
Chaves

Ronaldo (53')
Pereira (28'), Sa (43'), Pantalon (59'), Graca (79'), Ukra (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sylla (34'), Teixeira (34'), Ponck (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions

Last Game: Porto 1-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, February 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Chaves

All competitions

Last Game: Chaves 2-3 Sporting Lisbon
Monday, February 20 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

With just two points separating Rio Ave and Chaves in the league standings, we expect a thrilling contest on Sunday. The Vilacondenses have been solid on home turf this season and we fancy them claiming all three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rio Ave.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Chaves
40.63% ( -0.17)	28.64% ( 0.07)	30.73% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 45.05% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.78% (

-0.22)

61.22% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.84% (

-0.16)

81.15% (

0.16)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.44% (

-0.2)

29.56% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.42% (

-0.25)

65.58% (

0.25)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.96% (

-0.04)

36.04% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.18% (

-0.04)

72.82% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 40.62%

Chaves 30.73%

Draw 28.64%

Rio Ave	Draw	Chaves
1-0 @ 12.98% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.5% Total : 40.62%	1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.64%	0-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 30.73%