Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14

Dec 11, 2021 at 8.30pm UK

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Boavista

Sarabia (53'), Santos (59')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Porozo (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Boavista

Sporting saw their 12-game winning streak come to an end last time out and will be seeking to immediately bounce back to winning ways. They take on a floundering Boavista side who are without a win in their last eight games and we are tipping them to come away with all three points unscathed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 80.86%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 5.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.51%) and 1-0 (11.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.26%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (2.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Boavista
80.86%	13.3%	5.85%

Both teams to score 38.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.05%

39.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.68%

62.32%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.28%

7.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.5%

27.5%

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.14%

57.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.48%

89.52%

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 80.84%

Boavista 5.85%

Draw 13.3%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Boavista
2-0 @ 14.65% 3-0 @ 12.51% 1-0 @ 11.44% 2-1 @ 8.02% 4-0 @ 8.01% 3-1 @ 6.85% 4-1 @ 4.38% 5-0 @ 4.11% 5-1 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.87% 6-0 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.2% 6-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.84% Total : 80.84%	1-1 @ 6.26% 0-0 @ 4.47% 2-2 @ 2.19% Other @ 0.37% Total : 13.3%	0-1 @ 2.45% 1-2 @ 1.71% Other @ 1.69% Total : 5.85%