Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27

Mar 30, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Moreirense

Silva (68')
Mendes (20'), Mangas (43'), Silva (53'), Ribeiro (70'), Santos (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Alan (35'), Ofori (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Last Game: Chaves 1-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, March 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Moreirense

All competitions

Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Arouca
Sunday, March 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Moreirense

With just eight games to go, Vitoria de Guimaraes know that they cannot afford any slip-ups if they are to secure a top-four finish. Pacheco's men have hit their stride in recent weeks and we fancy them to come away with all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 50.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 23.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Moreirense
50.95% ( -0.06)	25.61% ( 0.03)	23.45% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 48.45% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.64% (

-0.08)

54.36% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.26% (

-0.07)

75.74% (

0.06)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.63% (

-0.06)

21.37% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.65% (

-0.09)

54.35% (

0.09)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.61% (

-0.02)

38.39% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.86% (

-0.01)

75.14% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 50.94%

Moreirense 23.45%

Draw 25.61%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Moreirense
1-0 @ 12.65% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.77% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.24% Total : 50.94%	1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.61%	0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.8% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 1.55% Total : 23.45%