Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13

Dec 9, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
3 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Silva (45+7' pen.), Silva (73'), Silva (80')
Mangas (27'), Carlos (89'), Silva (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Inacio (42'), Santos (77')
Esgaio (17'), Neto (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Farense 1-2 Guimaraes
Saturday, December 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Gil Vicente
Monday, December 4 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-2 Sporting Lisbon

Sporting need to continue churning out results after seeing their lead atop the league cut to three points. The hosts will be fairly positive coming into this match as they have an impeccable record against Vitoria de Guimaraes, and we feel they will secure their seventh straight win over Os Vimaranenses in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
30.38% ( 0.25)	24.43% ( -0.11)	45.19% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 57.82% (

0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.26% (

0.63)

44.74% (

-0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.9% (

0.61)

67.1% (

-0.6)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.21% (

0.48)

27.79% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.63% (

0.62)

63.37% (

-0.61)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.08% (

0.2)

19.92% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.94% (

0.32)

52.06% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 30.38%

Sporting Lisbon 45.19%

Draw 24.42%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 4.54% 3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.38%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.42%	1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 2% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.56% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.97% Total : 45.19%