Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 16.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Dynamo Moscow	Draw	Fakel
61.61% ( 1.23)	21.4% ( -0.48)	16.99% ( -0.75)

Both teams to score 51.35% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.55% (

0.83)

45.45% (

-0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.22% (

0.79)

67.78% (

-0.79)

Dynamo Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.77% (

0.66)

14.22% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.03% (

1.28)

41.96% (

-1.28)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.87% (

-0.39)

40.13% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.23% (

-0.36)

76.77% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Dynamo Moscow 61.61%

Fakel 16.99%

Draw 21.39%

Dynamo Moscow	Draw	Fakel
1-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.69% Total : 61.61%	1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.04) Other @ 1% Total : 21.39%	0-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.97% Total : 16.99%