Russian Premier League | Gameweek 9

Sep 11, 2022 at 1pm UK

Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov

Fakel
2 - 0
Lokomotiv

Morozov (45+6'), Kvekveskiri (57')
Dmitriev (4'), Suslov (18'), Gongadze (30'), Dmitriev (39'), Mendel (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ignatyev (39'), Barinov (64')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Fakel and Lokomotiv Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Fakel win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Fakel	Draw	Lokomotiv Moscow
35.12% ( -0.66)	26.46% ( 0.07)	38.42% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 52.6% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.79% (

-0.35)

52.2% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.09% (

-0.3)

73.91% (

0.3)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.57% (

-0.57)

28.43% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.81% (

-0.72)

64.19% (

0.72)

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.5% (

0.17)

26.5% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.3% (

0.22)

61.69% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Fakel 35.12%

Lokomotiv Moscow 38.42%

Draw 26.45%

Fakel	Draw	Lokomotiv Moscow
1-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.12%	1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 10% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.42%