Lokomotiv

2 - 2

Sochi

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 60.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 16.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Sochi win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.