Rostov
2 - 3
Spartak Moscow

Maslov (27' og.), Makhatadze (32')
Sowe (52')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Moses (23'), Sobolev (44', 58')
Promes (15'), Zobnin (62'), Hendrix (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Rostov and Spartak Moscow.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Rostov win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Rostov	Draw	Spartak Moscow
28.17%	25.88%	45.94%

Both teams to score 51.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.9%

52.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.18%

73.81%

Rostov Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.86%

33.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.26%

69.73%

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.36%

22.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.73%

56.27%

Score Analysis

Rostov 28.17%

Spartak Moscow 45.94%

Draw 25.87%

Rostov	Draw	Spartak Moscow
1-0 @ 8.29% 2-1 @ 6.8% 2-0 @ 4.58% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 1.86% 3-0 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.47% Total : 28.17%	1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 7.5% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.87%	0-1 @ 11.14% 1-2 @ 9.14% 0-2 @ 8.28% 1-3 @ 4.53% 0-3 @ 4.1% 2-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.68% 0-4 @ 1.52% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.12% Total : 45.94%