Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 63.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 14.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.53%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochi would win this match.

Result
Sochi	Draw	Nizhny Novgorod
63.26% ( 0.27)	21.91% ( -0.21)	14.82% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 45.06% (

0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.62% (

0.7)

51.38% (

-0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.8% (

0.61)

73.2% (

-0.61)

Sochi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.34% (

0.33)

15.66% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.31% (

0.6)

44.69% (

-0.6)

Nizhny Novgorod Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.42% (

0.35)

46.57% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.83% (

0.26)

82.16% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Sochi 63.26%

Nizhny Novgorod 14.82%

Draw 21.91%

Sochi	Draw	Nizhny Novgorod
1-0 @ 13.52% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 12.53% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.96% Total : 63.26%	1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.63% Total : 21.91%	0-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.24% Total : 14.82%