Ural

1 - 4

Zenit

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 27.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.