While the hosts have put up a few big scorelines already this season, most of those came on the road, while at home, they seem to have opted to remain defensively solid and see out games without too much fuss. This should be an entertaining match, but we feel Al-Hilal will claim the points and maintain their place at the top of the standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 17.73%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for an Al-Ahli win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-Hilal	Draw	Al-Ahli
60.96% ( 0.1)	21.31% ( 0.3)	17.73% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 53.15% (

-1.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.19% (

-2.04)

43.81% (

2.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.8% (

-2.03)

66.2% (

2.02)

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.1% (

-0.63)

13.89% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.68% (

-1.24)

41.31% (

1.24)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.72% (

-1.67)

38.27% (

1.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.97% (

-1.64)

75.03% (

1.64)

Score Analysis

Al-Hilal 60.95%

Al-Ahli 17.73%

Draw 21.31%

Al-Hilal	Draw	Al-Ahli
1-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.68) 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 3.36% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.23) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.91% Total : 60.95%	1-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.31%	0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.25% Total : 17.73%