Al Shabab have fallen a long way this season and need string together a few positive results to pull away from the relegation scrap. Unfortunately for the hosts, though, they are facing an opponent that have taken on all-comers this season and have looked almost unbeaten at times. Al-Hilal are massive favourites heading into this match and we feel they will claim yet another straightforward victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 73.92%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Al Shabab had a probability of 10.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-3 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for an Al Shabab win it was 2-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al Shabab	Draw	Al-Hilal
10.75% ( -0.02)	15.32% ( 0.08)	73.92% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 55.78% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.86% (

-0.51)

31.14% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.44% (

-0.61)

52.55% (

0.61)

Al Shabab Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.1% (

-0.4)

39.89% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.44% (

-0.38)

76.56% (

0.37)

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.81% (

-0.13)

7.19% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.89% (

-0.34)

26.11% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Al Shabab 10.75%

Al-Hilal 73.92%

Draw 15.32%

Al Shabab	Draw	Al-Hilal
2-1 @ 3.19% ( -0) 1-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.46% Total : 10.75%	1-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 15.32%	0-2 @ 9.94% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 8.72% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 8.02% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.16) 0-4 @ 5.74% ( 0) 1-4 @ 5.28% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 2.78% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 2.42% ( -0.05) 0-6 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.04) 1-6 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.82% Total : 73.92%