Scottish Championship Playoffs | Final | 2nd Leg

May 18, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Tulloch Caledonian Stadium

Inverness
2 - 3
Hamilton

(Hamilton Academical win 5-3 on aggregate)

Kerr (31'), Samuel (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-3)

O'Hara (8', 41' pen.), Smith (12')
Tumilty (43'), Williamson (51'), Martin (82')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Championship Playoffs Final clash between Inverness Caledonian Thistle and Hamilton Academical.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions

Scottish Championship Playoffs

Last Game: Hamilton 2-1 Inverness
Wednesday, May 15 at 8.05pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hamilton Academical

All competitions

Scottish Championship Playoffs

Last Game: Hamilton 2-1 Inverness
Wednesday, May 15 at 8.05pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 40.52%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	Hamilton Academical
40.52% ( 0.74)	25.62% ( 0.37)	33.86% ( -1.11)

Both teams to score 55.15% (

-1.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.16% (

-1.84)

48.84% (

1.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.06% (

-1.7)

70.93% (

1.69)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.14% (

-0.44)

23.85% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.96% (

-0.64)

58.04% (

0.64)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.42% (

-1.55)

27.58% (

1.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.89% (

-2.04)

63.1% (

2.04)

Score Analysis

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 40.52%

Hamilton Academical 33.86%

Draw 25.62%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	Hamilton Academical
1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.96% Total : 40.52%	1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.62%	0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.91% Total : 33.86%