Scottish Championship | Gameweek 15

Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK

Tannadice Park

Dundee Utd
1 - 0
Ayr

Fotheringham (63')

FT(HT: 0-0)

McAllister (10'), Ahui (30'), Murphy (41')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Dundee United and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee United

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Falkirk 4-2 Dundee Utd
Friday, November 17 at 7.40pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Inverness 3-1 Ayr
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 17.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundee United in this match.

Result
Dundee United	Draw	Ayr United
60.83% ( 0.08)	21.55% ( -0.05)	17.62% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 52.14% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.95% (

0.16)

45.04% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.61% (

0.15)

67.39% (

-0.15)

Dundee United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.66% (

0.07)

14.33% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.82% (

0.15)

42.18% (

-0.15)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.87% (

0.06)

39.13% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.15% (

0.05)

75.84% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Dundee United 60.82%

Ayr United 17.62%

Draw 21.55%

Dundee United	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 60.82%	1-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.55%	0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.8% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 17.62%